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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

24%

Union Espanola

4.24

30%

Draw

3.32

46%

Union La Calera

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

1.97

1.20

Union La Calera xG

24%
30%
46%
Union EspanolaDrawUnion La Calera

4.24

24%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

30%

Union Espanola

3.32

46%

Union La Calera

2.15

Win to Nil

7%

Union Espanola

14.08

21%

Union La Calera

4.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 16.8 10.1 4.0 1.2 0.3
1 10.7 12.9 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 4.1 4.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.767
λ Away (xG) 1.201
Total xG 1.968
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.035
Union Espanola attack strength 0.712
Union Espanola defence strength 1.384
Union La Calera attack strength 0.838
Union La Calera defence strength 0.731
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45