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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

21:15

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Espanola Win

36%

Union Espanola

2.74

30%

Draw

3.31

33%

U. Catolica

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

2.47

1.20

U. Catolica xG

36%
30%
33%
Union EspanolaDrawU. Catolica

2.74

36%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

30%

Union Espanola

3.33

28%

U. Catolica

3.56

Win to Nil

11%

Union Espanola

9.11

9%

U. Catolica

10.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.1 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.9 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 1.202
Total xG 2.472
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.089
Union Espanola attack strength 0.939
Union Espanola defence strength 1.213
U. Catolica attack strength 0.911
U. Catolica defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34