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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Espanola Win

44%

Union Espanola

2.30

28%

Draw

3.58

29%

Nublense

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

2.90

1.28

Nublense xG

44%
28%
29%
Union EspanolaDrawNublense

2.30

44%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Union Espanola

3.60

20%

Nublense

5.04

Win to Nil

12%

Union Espanola

8.27

6%

Nublense

17.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.9 11.4 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.2 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 5.0 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.618
λ Away (xG) 1.281
Total xG 2.899
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.056
Union Espanola attack strength 0.922
Union Espanola defence strength 1.283
Nublense attack strength 0.945
Nublense defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 36