Fixture360 logo BETA
Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

56%

U. Catolica

1.80

21%

Draw

4.82

24%

O'Higgins

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 0

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

3.48

1.34

O'Higgins xG

56%
21%
24%
U. CatolicaDrawO'Higgins

1.80

56%

Home win

4.82

21%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

26%

U. Catolica

3.83

12%

O'Higgins

8.43

Win to Nil

14%

U. Catolica

6.90

3%

O'Higgins

35.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.6 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 9.5 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 5.0 6.7 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 3.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.132
λ Away (xG) 1.343
Total xG 3.475
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
U. Catolica attack strength 1.362
U. Catolica defence strength 1.056
O'Higgins attack strength 1.061
O'Higgins defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45