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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 23 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Claro Arena

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

58%

U. Catolica

1.73

21%

Draw

4.86

22%

Nublense

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

3.38

1.24

Nublense xG

58%
21%
22%
U. CatolicaDrawNublense

1.73

58%

Home win

4.86

21%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

29%

U. Catolica

3.46

12%

Nublense

8.47

Win to Nil

17%

U. Catolica

5.98

3%

Nublense

39.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.3 9.1 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.5 6.9 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.136
λ Away (xG) 1.241
Total xG 3.377
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
U. Catolica attack strength 1.362
U. Catolica defence strength 1.056
Nublense attack strength 0.981
Nublense defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45