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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

23:30

Venue

Claro Arena

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

52%

U. Catolica

1.92

26%

Draw

3.87

22%

Everton de Vina

4.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.41

0.89

Everton de Vina xG

52%
26%
22%
U. CatolicaDrawEverton de Vina

1.92

52%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

4.56

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

41%

U. Catolica

2.43

22%

Everton de Vina

4.60

Win to Nil

21%

U. Catolica

4.66

5%

Everton de Vina

20.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.6 12.1 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.3 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.525
λ Away (xG) 0.889
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.029
U. Catolica attack strength 1.189
U. Catolica defence strength 0.891
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.970
Everton de Vina defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36