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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

80%

U. Catolica

1.26

13%

Draw

7.58

7%

D. La Serena

13.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.74

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

3.47

0.72

D. La Serena xG

80%
13%
U. CatolicaDrawD. La Serena

1.26

80%

Home win

7.58

13%

Draw

13.70

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

48%

U. Catolica

2.06

6%

D. La Serena

15.49

Win to Nil

39%

U. Catolica

2.60

0%

D. La Serena

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 6.2 2.3 0.5 0.1
2 11.7 8.5 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 10.7 7.8 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 7.3 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 4.0 2.9 1.1 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.740
λ Away (xG) 0.725
Total xG 3.465
League avg home goals 1.561
League avg away goals 0.935
U. Catolica attack strength 1.340
U. Catolica defence strength 0.888
D. La Serena attack strength 0.874
D. La Serena defence strength 1.310
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 11