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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

42%

U. Catolica

2.38

28%

Draw

3.62

30%

Coquimbo Unido

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.37

1.07

Coquimbo Unido xG

42%
28%
30%
U. CatolicaDrawCoquimbo Unido

2.38

42%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

34%

U. Catolica

2.91

27%

Coquimbo Unido

3.68

Win to Nil

14%

U. Catolica

6.93

8%

Coquimbo Unido

12.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.0 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.0 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.5 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.304
λ Away (xG) 1.067
Total xG 2.371
League avg home goals 1.523
League avg away goals 1.064
U. Catolica attack strength 1.114
U. Catolica defence strength 0.876
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.145
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.768
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46