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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 6 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

49%

U. Catolica

2.03

25%

Draw

3.97

26%

Colo Colo

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.63

1.06

Colo Colo xG

49%
25%
26%
U. CatolicaDrawColo Colo

2.03

49%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

35%

U. Catolica

2.89

21%

Colo Colo

4.83

Win to Nil

17%

U. Catolica

5.86

5%

Colo Colo

18.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.6 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.0 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.4 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.574
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.634
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.061
U. Catolica attack strength 1.111
U. Catolica defence strength 0.964
Colo Colo attack strength 1.037
Colo Colo defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43