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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 17 Feb 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

46%

U. Catolica

2.19

26%

Draw

3.86

29%

A. Italiano

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.74

1.18

A. Italiano xG

46%
26%
29%
U. CatolicaDrawA. Italiano

2.19

46%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

31%

U. Catolica

3.27

21%

A. Italiano

4.75

Win to Nil

14%

U. Catolica

7.17

6%

A. Italiano

16.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 11.9 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.1 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.558
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 2.742
League avg home goals 1.523
League avg away goals 1.193
U. Catolica attack strength 1.055
U. Catolica defence strength 1.035
A. Italiano attack strength 0.959
A. Italiano defence strength 0.970
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30