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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 6 Sep 2026

05:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

68%

Palestino

1.46

18%

Draw

5.42

13%

Universidad de Concepcion

7.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.24

Palestino xG

Total xG

3.11

0.87

Universidad de Concepcion xG

68%
18%
13%
PalestinoDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.46

68%

Home win

5.42

18%

Draw

7.58

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

42%

Palestino

2.39

11%

Universidad de Concepcion

9.37

Win to Nil

29%

Palestino

3.50

1%

Universidad de Concepcion

70.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.2
2 11.2 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.3 7.3 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 4.7 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.237
λ Away (xG) 0.871
Total xG 3.108
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Palestino attack strength 1.018
Palestino defence strength 0.885
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.821
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.365
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15