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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

23:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

44%

Palestino

2.29

27%

Draw

3.77

30%

Universidad de Chile

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.52

1.11

Universidad de Chile xG

44%
27%
30%
PalestinoDrawUniversidad de Chile

2.29

44%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

33%

Palestino

3.04

24%

Universidad de Chile

4.08

Win to Nil

14%

Palestino

6.97

7%

Universidad de Chile

13.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.0 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.6 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.9 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.407
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.000
Palestino attack strength 0.961
Palestino defence strength 1.051
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.058
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.959
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32