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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

55%

Palestino

1.83

24%

Draw

4.22

22%

Union Espanola

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.73

0.99

Union Espanola xG

55%
24%
22%
PalestinoDrawUnion Espanola

1.83

55%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

37%

Palestino

2.70

18%

Union Espanola

5.65

Win to Nil

20%

Palestino

4.95

4%

Union Espanola

26.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.5 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.3 11.3 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.8 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.732
λ Away (xG) 0.995
Total xG 2.727
League avg home goals 1.523
League avg away goals 1.064
Palestino attack strength 1.019
Palestino defence strength 1.037
Union Espanola attack strength 0.901
Union Espanola defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 46