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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 13 Sep 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

36%

Palestino

2.75

26%

Draw

3.82

37%

U. Catolica

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.63

1.33

U. Catolica xG

36%
26%
37%
PalestinoDrawU. Catolica

2.75

36%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

27%

Palestino

3.77

27%

U. Catolica

3.69

Win to Nil

10%

Palestino

10.36

10%

U. Catolica

9.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.4 12.5 8.3 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 8.1 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.305
λ Away (xG) 1.327
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Palestino attack strength 1.018
Palestino defence strength 0.885
U. Catolica attack strength 1.252
U. Catolica defence strength 0.797
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45