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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

49%

Palestino

2.05

24%

Draw

4.14

27%

Nublense

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.94

1.22

Nublense xG

49%
24%
27%
PalestinoDrawNublense

2.05

49%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

29%

Palestino

3.40

18%

Nublense

5.55

Win to Nil

14%

Palestino

6.98

5%

Nublense

20.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.5 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 11.1 6.8 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.5 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.4 5.4 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.713
λ Away (xG) 1.224
Total xG 2.937
League avg home goals 1.505
League avg away goals 1.113
Palestino attack strength 0.949
Palestino defence strength 1.064
Nublense attack strength 1.034
Nublense defence strength 1.199
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34