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Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

52%

Palestino

1.93

25%

Draw

3.93

23%

Huachipato

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.50

0.94

Huachipato xG

52%
25%
23%
PalestinoDrawHuachipato

1.93

52%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

Palestino

2.57

21%

Huachipato

4.75

Win to Nil

20%

Palestino

4.97

5%

Huachipato

20.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.7 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.8 12.0 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.559
λ Away (xG) 0.944
Total xG 2.503
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Palestino attack strength 1.018
Palestino defence strength 0.885
Huachipato attack strength 0.890
Huachipato defence strength 0.951
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45