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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Palestino cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Deportes Iquique.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Palestino beat Deportes Iquique 2-0 at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Regular Season - 19, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Palestino 1.97 xG and Deportes Iquique 1.00 xG, a combined 2.97. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Deportes Iquique landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Palestino attack 0.99 / defence 0.94 against Deportes Iquique attack 1.00 / defence 1.40, drawn from 47/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Palestino 60% | Draw 21% | Deportes Iquique 19%, with Palestino to win its most likely call at 60%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Palestino 45%, Deportes Iquique 74%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Palestino's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Deportes Iquique's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Palestino arrived the stronger side — 1.66 PPG against 1.17. Form held, and they took the win. Palestino (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Deportes Iquique (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.26 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights