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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 14 Jun 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

52%

Palestino

1.91

23%

Draw

4.34

25%

D. La Serena

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.98

1.17

D. La Serena xG

52%
23%
25%
PalestinoDrawD. La Serena

1.91

52%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

31%

Palestino

3.23

16%

D. La Serena

6.11

Win to Nil

16%

Palestino

6.16

4%

D. La Serena

24.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.2 10.8 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.7 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.0 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.810
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 2.981
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.057
Palestino attack strength 0.998
Palestino defence strength 1.080
D. La Serena attack strength 1.026
D. La Serena defence strength 1.165
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 13