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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

58%

Palestino

1.73

22%

Draw

4.52

20%

A. Italiano

4.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.94

1.03

A. Italiano xG

58%
22%
20%
PalestinoDrawA. Italiano

1.73

58%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

4.96

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

36%

Palestino

2.82

15%

A. Italiano

6.73

Win to Nil

21%

Palestino

4.88

3%

A. Italiano

33.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.4 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.3 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.907
λ Away (xG) 1.035
Total xG 2.942
League avg home goals 1.615
League avg away goals 1.111
Palestino attack strength 1.081
Palestino defence strength 0.970
A. Italiano attack strength 0.961
A. Italiano defence strength 1.092
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32