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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio El Teniente

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

O'Higgins Win

49%

O'Higgins

2.03

27%

Draw

3.67

23%

A. Italiano

4.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

O'Higgins xG

Total xG

2.28

0.88

A. Italiano xG

49%
27%
23%
O'HigginsDrawA. Italiano

2.03

49%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

4.28

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

42%

O'Higgins

2.40

25%

A. Italiano

4.08

Win to Nil

21%

O'Higgins

4.86

6%

A. Italiano

17.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 8.9 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 14.4 12.6 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 8.8 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 4.7 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.406
λ Away (xG) 0.875
Total xG 2.281
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.101
O'Higgins attack strength 0.914
O'Higgins defence strength 0.758
A. Italiano attack strength 1.049
A. Italiano defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51