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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

54%

Nublense

1.87

26%

Draw

3.89

21%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.39

0.85

Universidad de Concepcion xG

54%
26%
21%
NublenseDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.87

54%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

43%

Nublense

2.33

21%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.66

Win to Nil

23%

Nublense

4.36

4%

Universidad de Concepcion

22.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 7.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 14.1 12.0 5.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.2 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.6 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.540
λ Away (xG) 0.848
Total xG 2.388
League avg home goals 1.594
League avg away goals 1.119
Nublense attack strength 0.794
Nublense defence strength 0.983
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.771
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 12