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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

23:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

40%

Nublense

2.53

31%

Draw

3.20

29%

D. La Serena

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Nublense xG

Total xG

1.93

0.87

D. La Serena xG

40%
31%
29%
NublenseDrawD. La Serena

2.53

40%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

42%

Nublense

2.38

35%

D. La Serena

2.90

Win to Nil

17%

Nublense

6.02

10%

D. La Serena

9.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 12.6 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.4 13.4 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.2 7.1 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.064
λ Away (xG) 0.868
Total xG 1.932
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.075
Nublense attack strength 0.893
Nublense defence strength 0.939
D. La Serena attack strength 0.860
D. La Serena defence strength 0.841
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36