Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

44%

Nublense

2.28

28%

Draw

3.53

28%

A. Italiano

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.24

0.96

A. Italiano xG

44%
28%
28%
NublenseDrawA. Italiano

2.28

44%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.25

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

38%

Nublense

2.61

28%

A. Italiano

3.59

Win to Nil

17%

Nublense

5.97

8%

A. Italiano

12.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 10.2 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.6 13.1 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.4 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.7 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.279
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 2.239
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.000
Nublense attack strength 0.943
Nublense defence strength 0.957
A. Italiano attack strength 1.003
A. Italiano defence strength 0.889
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32