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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 16 Jun 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

36%

Nublense

2.78

32%

Draw

3.10

32%

A. Italiano

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Nublense xG

Total xG

1.86

0.89

A. Italiano xG

36%
32%
32%
NublenseDrawA. Italiano

2.78

36%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.74

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

41%

Nublense

2.43

38%

A. Italiano

2.63

Win to Nil

15%

Nublense

6.75

12%

A. Italiano

8.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6 13.9 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.1 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 7.3 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.968
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 1.856
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.013
Nublense attack strength 0.744
Nublense defence strength 0.895
A. Italiano attack strength 0.979
A. Italiano defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43