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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 11 Oct 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Sausalito

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Everton de Vina Win

47%

Everton de Vina

2.11

25%

Draw

3.95

27%

D. La Serena

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Everton de Vina xG

Total xG

2.66

1.11

D. La Serena xG

47%
25%
27%
Everton de VinaDrawD. La Serena

2.11

47%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

Everton de Vina

3.05

21%

D. La Serena

4.70

Win to Nil

16%

Everton de Vina

6.44

6%

D. La Serena

17.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 12.0 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.3 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.3 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.547
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 2.661
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.759
Everton de Vina defence strength 0.941
D. La Serena attack strength 0.988
D. La Serena defence strength 1.267
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45