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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Deportes Limache run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Universidad de Concepcion.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Deportes Limache beat Universidad de Concepcion 3-0 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 10, in the Primera División. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 2.82 xG and Universidad de Concepcion 0.65 xG, a combined 3.47. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 1.33 / defence 0.75 against Universidad de Concepcion attack 0.82 / defence 1.34, drawn from 39/9 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 82% | Draw 12% | Universidad de Concepcion 6%, with Deportes Limache to win its most likely call at 82%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 46% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights