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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

37%

Deportes Limache

2.72

26%

Draw

3.78

37%

U. Catolica

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.59

1.29

U. Catolica xG

37%
26%
37%
Deportes LimacheDrawU. Catolica

2.72

37%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

27%

Deportes Limache

3.64

27%

U. Catolica

3.64

Win to Nil

10%

Deportes Limache

9.91

10%

U. Catolica

9.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.7 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.1 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.293
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.142
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.957
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.964
U. Catolica attack strength 1.174
U. Catolica defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 51