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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

39%

Deportes Limache

2.59

29%

Draw

3.41

32%

Nublense

3.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.17

1.02

Nublense xG

39%
29%
32%
Deportes LimacheDrawNublense

2.59

39%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.12

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

36%

Deportes Limache

2.77

32%

Nublense

3.15

Win to Nil

14%

Deportes Limache

7.18

10%

Nublense

9.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 11.7 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.4 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.148
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.167
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.051
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.757
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.000
Nublense attack strength 0.969
Nublense defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 46