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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 22 Nov 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

64%

Deportes Limache

1.57

19%

Draw

5.34

18%

D. La Serena

5.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.2%

Home win

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

3.52

1.17

D. La Serena xG

64%
19%
18%
Deportes LimacheDrawD. La Serena

1.57

64%

Home win

5.34

19%

Draw

5.68

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

31%

Deportes Limache

3.23

10%

D. La Serena

10.51

Win to Nil

20%

Deportes Limache

5.07

2%

D. La Serena

59.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 6.9 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.2 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 6.4 7.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.8 4.4 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.352
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 3.523
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Deportes Limache attack strength 1.155
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.989
D. La Serena attack strength 0.988
D. La Serena defence strength 1.265
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45