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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 6 Dec 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

61%

Deportes Limache

1.63

22%

Draw

4.61

17%

Concepción

5.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.80

0.89

Concepción xG

61%
22%
17%
Deportes LimacheDrawConcepción

1.63

61%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

5.91

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

41%

Deportes Limache

2.44

15%

Concepción

6.78

Win to Nil

25%

Deportes Limache

3.97

2%

Concepción

40.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.6 10.3 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.1 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.914
λ Away (xG) 0.891
Total xG 2.805
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Deportes Limache attack strength 1.154
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.989
Concepción attack strength 0.752
Concepción defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15