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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shock result as Deportes Limache defy the odds to beat Colo Colo 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Deportes Limache beat Colo Colo 1-0 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 10, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.33 xG and Colo Colo 1.44 xG, a combined 2.78. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Colo Colo landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.91 / defence 1.27 against Colo Colo attack 1.19 / defence 0.94, drawn from 9/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 34% | Draw 26% | Colo Colo 39%, with Colo Colo to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual Deportes Limache win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights