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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

29%

Deportes Iquique

3.41

25%

Draw

4.06

46%

Palestino

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Deportes Iquique xG

Total xG

2.83

1.60

Palestino xG

29%
25%
46%
Deportes IquiqueDrawPalestino

3.41

29%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

20%

Deportes Iquique

4.95

29%

Palestino

3.41

Win to Nil

6%

Deportes Iquique

16.86

13%

Palestino

7.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.5 7.6 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.3 11.6 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.5 7.1 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.8 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.228
λ Away (xG) 1.599
Total xG 2.827
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.122
Deportes Iquique attack strength 0.963
Deportes Iquique defence strength 1.169
Palestino attack strength 1.219
Palestino defence strength 0.837
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33