Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 1 Feb 2026

21:00

Venue

La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

31%

D. La Serena

3.23

28%

Draw

3.56

41%

U. Catolica

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.31

1.26

U. Catolica xG

31%
28%
41%
D. La SerenaDrawU. Catolica

3.23

31%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

28%

D. La Serena

3.52

35%

U. Catolica

2.87

Win to Nil

9%

D. La Serena

11.37

14%

U. Catolica

7.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 12.4 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
1 10.4 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.5 6.9 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.056
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 2.315
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.040
D. La Serena attack strength 0.881
D. La Serena defence strength 1.149
U. Catolica attack strength 1.054
U. Catolica defence strength 0.805
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30