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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

20%

D. La Serena

4.97

24%

Draw

4.23

56%

U. Catolica

1.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.67

1.73

U. Catolica xG

20%
24%
56%
D. La SerenaDrawU. Catolica

4.97

20%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

1.78

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

18%

D. La Serena

5.65

39%

U. Catolica

2.54

Win to Nil

4%

D. La Serena

28.08

22%

U. Catolica

4.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 12.1 10.4 6.0 2.6 0.9
1 6.5 11.2 9.7 5.6 2.4 0.8
2 3.0 5.2 4.5 2.6 1.1 0.4
3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.933
λ Away (xG) 1.732
Total xG 2.665
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.112
D. La Serena attack strength 0.841
D. La Serena defence strength 1.238
U. Catolica attack strength 1.258
U. Catolica defence strength 0.762
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 56