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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

44%

D. La Serena

2.26

22%

Draw

4.51

34%

Huachipato

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

3.49

1.61

Huachipato xG

44%
22%
34%
D. La SerenaDrawHuachipato

2.26

44%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.10

Clean Sheet

20%

D. La Serena

5.02

15%

Huachipato

6.50

Win to Nil

9%

D. La Serena

11.36

5%

Huachipato

19.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.9 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3
1 5.7 9.3 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
2 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.5
3 3.3 5.4 4.4 2.3 0.9 0.3
4 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.872
λ Away (xG) 1.614
Total xG 3.486
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.077
D. La Serena attack strength 0.934
D. La Serena defence strength 1.485
Huachipato attack strength 1.009
Huachipato defence strength 1.355
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 50