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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 25 Oct 2026

01:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

56%

D. La Serena

1.78

24%

Draw

4.22

20%

Concepción

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.66

0.93

Concepción xG

56%
24%
20%
D. La SerenaDrawConcepción

1.78

56%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

40%

D. La Serena

2.53

18%

Concepción

5.64

Win to Nil

22%

D. La Serena

4.50

4%

Concepción

28.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.1 11.3 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.0 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 0.928
Total xG 2.658
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
D. La Serena attack strength 1.044
D. La Serena defence strength 1.032
Concepción attack strength 0.751
Concepción defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15