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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 6 Dec 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

56%

D. La Serena

1.80

23%

Draw

4.26

21%

A. Italiano

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.73

0.98

A. Italiano xG

56%
23%
21%
D. La SerenaDrawA. Italiano

1.80

56%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

38%

D. La Serena

2.65

17%

A. Italiano

5.78

Win to Nil

21%

D. La Serena

4.77

4%

A. Italiano

27.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.4 11.2 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.754
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.730
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
D. La Serena attack strength 1.044
D. La Serena defence strength 1.032
A. Italiano attack strength 0.790
A. Italiano defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45