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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

30%

D. La Serena

3.31

23%

Draw

4.40

47%

A. Italiano

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

3.26

1.83

A. Italiano xG

30%
23%
47%
D. La SerenaDrawA. Italiano

3.31

30%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

16%

D. La Serena

6.23

24%

A. Italiano

4.18

Win to Nil

5%

D. La Serena

20.62

11%

A. Italiano

8.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.0 6.4 3.9 1.8 0.7
1 5.5 10.0 9.2 5.6 2.6 0.9
2 3.9 7.2 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.7
3 1.9 3.4 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.430
λ Away (xG) 1.830
Total xG 3.260
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.150
D. La Serena attack strength 0.778
D. La Serena defence strength 1.279
A. Italiano attack strength 1.244
A. Italiano defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 54