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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

22:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coquimbo Unido Win

43%

Coquimbo Unido

2.31

29%

Draw

3.46

28%

Nublense

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Coquimbo Unido xG

Total xG

2.17

0.93

Nublense xG

43%
29%
28%
Coquimbo UnidoDrawNublense

2.31

43%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

39%

Coquimbo Unido

2.54

29%

Nublense

3.46

Win to Nil

17%

Coquimbo Unido

5.87

8%

Nublense

12.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 10.6 5.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.2 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 8.2 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 0.933
Total xG 2.173
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.107
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.051
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.814
Nublense attack strength 1.035
Nublense defence strength 0.804
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51