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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

22:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coquimbo Unido Win

40%

Coquimbo Unido

2.50

32%

Draw

3.10

28%

A. Italiano

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Coquimbo Unido xG

Total xG

2.33

1.04

A. Italiano xG

40%
32%
28%
Coquimbo UnidoDrawA. Italiano

2.50

40%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

35%

Coquimbo Unido

2.83

28%

A. Italiano

3.63

Win to Nil

14%

Coquimbo Unido

7.07

8%

A. Italiano

13.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 10.1 5.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.6 13.1 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 8.4 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.288
λ Away (xG) 1.039
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.108
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 0.891
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.863
A. Italiano attack strength 1.086
A. Italiano defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35