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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 9 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Concepción Win

55%

Concepción

1.82

22%

Draw

4.52

23%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Concepción xG

Total xG

3.10

1.18

Universidad de Concepcion xG

55%
22%
23%
ConcepciónDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.82

55%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

31%

Concepción

3.24

15%

Universidad de Concepcion

6.88

Win to Nil

17%

Concepción

5.91

3%

Universidad de Concepcion

29.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.3 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.7 10.2 6.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.4 6.3 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.928
λ Away (xG) 1.176
Total xG 3.104
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Concepción attack strength 0.877
Concepción defence strength 1.196
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.821
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.366
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 15