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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 1 Nov 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

36%

Concepción

2.80

25%

Draw

4.08

40%

Palestino

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Concepción xG

Total xG

2.94

1.52

Palestino xG

36%
25%
40%
ConcepciónDrawPalestino

2.80

36%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

22%

Concepción

4.57

24%

Palestino

4.16

Win to Nil

8%

Concepción

12.81

10%

Palestino

10.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 8.0 6.1 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 7.5 11.4 8.7 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.3 8.1 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.5 3.9 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.519
Total xG 2.945
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Concepción attack strength 0.877
Concepción defence strength 1.196
Palestino attack strength 1.060
Palestino defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 45