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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Nublense cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Concepción.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Nublense beat Concepción 0-2 at Municipal de Collao, Regular Season - 6, in the Primera División. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Concepción 0.95 xG and Nublense 1.12 xG, a combined 2.08. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Concepción fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Nublense outscored their 1.12 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Concepción attack 0.79 / defence 1.13 against Nublense attack 0.98 / defence 0.83, drawn from 5/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Concepción 31% | Draw 30% | Nublense 39%, with Nublense to win its most likely call at 39%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 61% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights