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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Colo Colo edge out Concepción 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Colo Colo beat Concepción 0-1 at Municipal de Collao, Regular Season - 8, in the Primera División. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Concepción 0.85 xG and Colo Colo 1.31 xG, a combined 2.16. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Concepción fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Concepción attack 0.69 / defence 1.21 against Colo Colo attack 0.99 / defence 0.80, drawn from 7/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Concepción 24% | Draw 28% | Colo Colo 47%, with Colo Colo to win its most likely call at 47%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 64% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights