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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

23:30

Venue

Municipal de Collao

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Concepción Win

50%

Concepción

1.99

25%

Draw

4.05

25%

Cobresal

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Concepción xG

Total xG

2.70

1.07

Cobresal xG

50%
25%
25%
ConcepciónDrawCobresal

1.99

50%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

34%

Concepción

2.93

20%

Cobresal

5.07

Win to Nil

17%

Concepción

5.84

5%

Cobresal

20.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 7.2 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.9 11.7 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.624
λ Away (xG) 1.075
Total xG 2.699
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 0.962
Concepción attack strength 0.858
Concepción defence strength 1.150
Cobresal attack strength 0.972
Cobresal defence strength 1.283
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 33