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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 6 Sep 2026

05:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Concepción Win

45%

Concepción

2.22

26%

Draw

3.86

29%

A. Italiano

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Concepción xG

Total xG

2.60

1.13

A. Italiano xG

45%
26%
29%
ConcepciónDrawA. Italiano

2.22

45%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

32%

Concepción

3.09

23%

A. Italiano

4.37

Win to Nil

15%

Concepción

6.85

7%

A. Italiano

15.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.4 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.9 12.3 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.0 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.475
λ Away (xG) 1.128
Total xG 2.603
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Concepción attack strength 0.877
Concepción defence strength 1.196
A. Italiano attack strength 0.788
A. Italiano defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 45