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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

55%

Colo Colo

1.83

23%

Draw

4.28

22%

U. Catolica

4.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

2.80

1.03

U. Catolica xG

55%
23%
22%
Colo ColoDrawU. Catolica

1.83

55%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.56

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

36%

Colo Colo

2.80

17%

U. Catolica

5.86

Win to Nil

20%

Colo Colo

5.13

4%

U. Catolica

26.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.3 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.1 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.8 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.6 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.769
λ Away (xG) 1.031
Total xG 2.800
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.065
Colo Colo attack strength 1.272
Colo Colo defence strength 0.989
U. Catolica attack strength 0.979
U. Catolica defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 48