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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

71%

Colo Colo

1.41

17%

Draw

5.88

12%

D. La Serena

8.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.41

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

3.29

0.89

D. La Serena xG

71%
17%
12%
Colo ColoDrawD. La Serena

1.41

71%

Home win

5.88

17%

Draw

8.32

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

41%

Colo Colo

2.43

9%

D. La Serena

11.09

Win to Nil

29%

Colo Colo

3.42

1%

D. La Serena

92.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 8.9 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 10.8 9.5 4.2 1.3 0.3
3 8.6 7.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 5.2 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.406
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 3.293
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.033
Colo Colo attack strength 1.344
Colo Colo defence strength 0.867
D. La Serena attack strength 0.991
D. La Serena defence strength 1.191
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15