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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

69%

Colo Colo

1.45

19%

Draw

5.36

12%

A. Italiano

8.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

2.98

0.80

A. Italiano xG

69%
19%
12%
Colo ColoDrawA. Italiano

1.45

69%

Home win

5.36

19%

Draw

8.04

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

45%

Colo Colo

2.23

11%

A. Italiano

8.86

Win to Nil

31%

Colo Colo

3.24

1%

A. Italiano

71.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 8.9 3.6 0.9 0.2
2 12.0 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 8.8 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 4.8 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.181
λ Away (xG) 0.802
Total xG 2.983
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Colo Colo attack strength 1.297
Colo Colo defence strength 0.850
A. Italiano attack strength 0.788
A. Italiano defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45