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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

63%

Colo Colo

1.60

18%

Draw

5.51

19%

A. Italiano

5.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.5%

Home win

1 – 1

7.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.51

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

3.86

1.35

A. Italiano xG

63%
18%
19%
Colo ColoDrawA. Italiano

1.60

63%

Home win

5.51

18%

Draw

5.19

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.14

Clean Sheet

26%

Colo Colo

3.87

8%

A. Italiano

12.29

Win to Nil

16%

Colo Colo

6.19

2%

A. Italiano

63.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 5.3 7.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 6.6 9.0 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 5.5 7.5 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 3.5 4.7 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.509
λ Away (xG) 1.354
Total xG 3.863
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.165
Colo Colo attack strength 1.372
Colo Colo defence strength 1.033
A. Italiano attack strength 1.125
A. Italiano defence strength 1.254
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59